THERESA MAY will be returned as Prime Minister tomorrow with a majority of up to 96, according to the final election day polls. Modelling by Lord Ashcroft found that support for the Tories had hardened in the final few days - which could give her a resounding victory. The latest figures from Lord Ashcroft showed that a best case scenario would see the Tories would win 373 seats - if voters turned out and voted how they indicated. They found out that if turnout is the same as it was in 2015, they would land 364 seats, and if everyone who voted in the referendum came to the polls, it would be 351 seats. The news will be a breath of fresh air for the Prime Minister after weeks of worry over whether she would be able to increase her majority substantially. And research by Ipsos Mori for the Evening Standard showed the Conservatives trouncing Labour by eight points as the election enters its final hours.The Prime Minister and dedicated husband Philip showed up early to cast their … [Read more...] about Theresa May set for General Election victory with up to 96-seat majority according to the last surveys before polls close at 10pm
Labour will win a general election
Boris Johnson is heading for a 28 seat majority but a hung parliament is possible, according to a polling model that accurately predicted the surprise result of the 2017 general election. The Conservatives look set to win 339 seats, Labour 231, the SNP 41 and the Liberal Democrats 15, in new MRP model analysis. However, the Tory lead has more than halved from 68 to 28 since the same polling was undertaken two weeks ago. The polling also puts a hung Parliament within the margin of error, with the final number of Tory seats ranging from 311 to 367. YouGov surveyed 100,000 people for the poll over seven days and used their responses to predict the outcome of every constituency. … [Read more...] about General election poll: Tories on track for majority – but tightening of race makes hung parliament possible
If you want to receive twice-daily briefings like this by email, sign up to the Front Page newsletter here . For two-minute audio updates, try The Briefing - on podcasts, smart speakers and WhatsApp. PM: General election result is 'in the lap of the gods' The race is tightening. Boris Johnson is facing a tense final day on the campaign trail after a poll suggested he is no longer assured of winning a Commons majority. According to a polling method that correctly predicted the 2017 hung parliament, he will secure a 28-seat majority - but it is within the margin of error. Mr Johnson uses an interview with Political Editor Gordon Rayner to warn that tomorrow is "an absolutely critical moment in our national history", with voters facing the starkest choice since the Eighties. He said the election was "in the lap of the gods", admitting he was "genuinely worried" that tactical voting could put Jeremy Corbyn into No 10. It comes as analysis shows … [Read more...] about Wednesday morning news briefing: General election on a knife-edge
BORIS Johnson's lead has been cut by more than half with just a day to go until the general election, a recent poll has revealed. The poll, which accurately predicted the general election outcome in 2017, suggests the Tories will win 339 seats, Labour 231, the SNP 41 and the Lib Dems 15. Follow our General Election 2019 live blog below for all the latest news and updates... Alexander Brown59 minutes ago11th December 2019LOCH NESS MONSTER Ruth Davidson has pledged to go skinny dipping in Loch Ness if the SNP win 50 seats at the General Election. The former Scottish Conservative leader says she is confident “that my modesty (and others' eyeballs) will remain unmolested” as it will not happen. Hopefully the other party leaders don't get any ideas. Natasha Clark2 hours ago11th December 2019MARRY CARRIE? The Sun sat down with Boris and some undecided voters yesterday for a cuppa and to ask him some questions. It was only when Sam pushed the PM on his intentions for his … [Read more...] about General Election 2019 latest news: Polls show Boris Johnson’s predicted majority halved as hung parliament threat looms
On Friday morning, the UK will wake up to the final general election results trickling in. The latest polls give Boris Johnson's Conservative Party a lead of around 10 per cent, but the last two elections have shown that the predictions of pollsters rarely materialise. It can take some time for every constituency to be declared. At the election in 2017, the 650th and final seat of Kensington was declared for Labour nearly 24 hours after polls closed, and required three recounts. But by Friday morning there will be a strong indication of what sort of government will be formed. Here are four possible outcomes: What happens if the Conservatives win a majority? … [Read more...] about What are the four possible outcomes of the 2019 general election?